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MBTA Project

I analyzed how fare increases affect ridership in different modes (bus, subway, commuter rail) and evaluated whether these fare increases were equitable. Furthermore, I analyzed the elasticity of each mode of the MBTA to understand how these fare increases change travel behavior.

Main Python Skills Used

  1. Graphing/data visualization using matplotlib

  2. Using numerical operations on Pandas dataframes

Tasks

  1. Plotted graphs to visualize base fares, incomes of low-income & not low-income riders, and number of low-income and not low-income riders using Pandas

  2. Created an impact factor and created graphs to visualize the impact of a fare increase of $0.50 across all modes

  3. Varied fare increases to see how it would affect the impact factor values and visualizations and found new combinations to get the impact factor as close to 1 as possible (most equitable)

  4. Calculated the elasticity of demand for ridership vs. fares for the bus and graphed it on a line chart

Outputs + Conclusions

Default Data:

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Impact factor with $0.5 increase across all modes:

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The impact factor is around 1.8736 when raising each fare by $0.5. When the impact factor is >1, low-income households are more negatively affected. The low-income riders are more affected if all modes of transportation get an "equal" bump in price as the slight change in price is a higher percentage of a low-income rider's income. In contrast, this fare increase negatively affects not low-income riders by around half the amount it affects low-income riders. 

Most Equitable Fare Increase: Bus: 0.25, Subway: 0.3, Commuter Rail: 3.5. Impact factor: 1.0006.

The strategy for achieving equity was to increase the price of the commuter rail significantly more than the bus or subway because fewer low-income people frequently take the commuter rail. Therefore, the people most affected by this price change would be on the wealthier side.

Elasticity of Demand for Bus:

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